Sunday, November 4, 2007

Forex Trading System- History of Swiss Franc


WHY TRADE THE SWISS FRANC?

With its long tradition of political and military neutrality, Switzerland holds a position of elevated respect in the arena of international banking and finance. Countries undergoing social and political uncertainty frequently convert liquid assets to the Swiss Franc in hopes of achieving a modicum of economic stability and security.

The International Standards Organization (ISO) symbol for the Swiss Franc is CHF
which is an abbreviation for Confoederatio Helvetica (Latin for the Helvetian Confederation). This nomenclature avoids giving preference to any of the four official languages of Switzerland: German, French, Italian, and Romansh.

HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE

The roots of modern Swiss sovereignty began in the 13th century. In 1291, the cantons
of Uri, Schwyz, and Unterwalden conspired against the ruling Habsburgs. Their union is recorded in the Federal Charter, a document probably written after the fact. At the battles of Morgarten in 1315 and Sempach in 1386, the Swiss defeated the Habsburg armyand secured a de facto independence.

By 1353, the three original cantons, joined by the cantons of Glarus and Zug and the
city states of Lucerne, Zurich, and Berne, formed the “Old Federation” of eight states that persisted during much of the 15th century.

In 1518 Huldrych Zwingli was elected priest of the Great Minster church in
Zurich. Zwingli’s Reformation of 1523 was supported by the magistrate and popula-
tion of Zürich and led to significant changes in civil life and state matters. The
reformation spread from Zürich to five other cantons of Switzerland, while the re-
maining five sternly held onto the Roman Catholic faith, leading to intercantonal
wars in 1529 and 1531.

The Thirty Years War (1618–1648), a religious conflict between Protestants and
Catholics, was fought principally on the territory of current day Germany, but in-
volved most of the major continental powers. During this period, Switzerland re-
mained a relative oasis of peace and prosperity in war-torn Europe, mostly because
all the major powers in Europe were depending on Swiss mercenaries, and they
would not let Switzerland fall into the hands of one of their rivals. This is probably the first example of Swiss neutrality being enforced by outsiders. At the Treaty of Westphalia in 1648, Switzerland attained legal independence from the Holy Roman Empire.

During the French Revolutionary Wars, Napoleon’s armies moved eastward through
Switzerland in their battles against Austria. In 1798 Switzerland was completely overrun by the French and became the Helvetic Republic. The Congress of Vienna of 1815 fully reestablished Swiss independence, and the European powers agreed to permanently recognize Swiss neutrality.

During both World War I and World War II, Switzerland managed to maintain a po-
sition of armed neutrality and was not involved militarily. Switzerland reacted to Nazi Germany’s invasion of Poland by a mobilization of some 430,000 troops. On May 11, 1940, the day following Hitler’s attack on Belgium, general mobilization of the full army was ordered, which for the first time included some 15,000 women. Switzerland observed a restrictive immigration policy during the war, but nevertheless some 26,000 Jews and other refugees were granted asylum. Nazi Germany drew up plans to invade Switzerland, most notably “Operation Tannenbaum,” but the invasion was never carried out.

In 1963, Switzerland joined the Council of Europe. Women were granted the right to
vote only in 1971, and an equal rights amendment was ratified in 1981. In 1979, parts of the canton of Berne attained independence, forming the new canton of Jura.
Switzerland’s role in many United Nations and international organizations helped to
mitigate the country’s concern for neutrality. In 2002, Switzerland was officially ratified as a member of the United Nations—the only country joining after agreement by a popular vote.

Switzerland is not a member state of the EU, but has been (together with Liechten-
stein) surrounded by EU territory since Austria joined the EU in 1995.
In 2005, Switzerland agreed by popular vote to join the Schengen Treaty (an
agreement among European states that allows for common immigration policies
and a border system) and the Dublin Convention (a European Union law to stream-
line the application process for refugees seeking political asylum under the Geneva
Convention).

The Swiss Franc has historically been considered a safe haven currency with virtu-
ally zero inflation and a legal requirement that a minimum 40 percent is backed by gold reserves. However, this link to gold, which dates from the 1920s, was terminated on May 1, 2000, following an amendment to the Swiss Constitution. The Swiss Franc has suffered devaluation only once, on September 27, 1936, during the Great Depression, when the currency was devalued by 30 percent following the devaluations of the British Pound, U.S. Dollar and French Franc.

BANKNOTES AND COINS

Since 1907, when the first series of Swiss banknotes was printed, eight series have been printed, six of which have been released for use by the general public. The current (8th) series of banknotes was designed by Jörg Zintzmeyer around the theme of the arts and was released starting in 1995.

The first Swiss coins were released in 1850. Before this date, the different Swiss
cantons had their own money, with different names and values. (See Table 11.1.)
In addition to these general circulation coins, numerous series of commemora-
tive coins have been issued, as well as gold coins including the well-known Vreneli.
These coins generally remain legal tender, but are not used as such because their
material or collector’s value usually exceeds their face value. (See Figures 11.3
through 11.5.)

For additional details, visit http://en.wikipedia.org.

Forex Trading System- History of pound


WHY TRADE THE BRITISH POUND?

Aside from being one of the most actively traded currency pairs, the British Pound
holds a position of being the king of currencies in the international arena. Its stability and status as legal tender globally during the period of the British Empire contribute to its appeal.

HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE

As a unit of currency, the term pound originated from the value of a troy pound of high purity silver known as sterling silver. The sterling was originally a name for a silver penny of 1/240 pound. Originally a silver penny had the purchasing power of slightly less than a modern pound.

The pound sterling, established in 1560 by Elizabeth I, brought order to the financial
chaos of Tudor England that had been caused by the “Great Debasement” of the
coinage, which brought on a debilitating inflation during the years 1543–1551. By 1551, the silver content of a penny had dropped to one part in three. The coinage had become a mere fiduciary currency (as modern coins are), and the exchange rate on the European continent deteriorated accordingly. All the coins in circulation were called in for reminting at the higher standard, and paid for at discounted rates.
The pound sterling maintained its intrinsic value uniquely among European curren-
cies, even after the United Kingdom officially adopted the gold standard, until after
World War I; it weathered financial crises in 1621, in 1694–1696, and again in 1774 and 1797. Not even the violent disorders of the Civil War devalued the pound sterling in European money markets. England’s easy credit, security of contracts, and rise to financial superiority during the 18th century all contributed to the fact that the pound was never devalued over the centuries. The pound sterling has been the money of account of the Bank of England from its inception in 1694.

THE GOLD STANDARD

Sterling unofficially moved to the gold standard from silver due to an overvaluation of gold in England that drew gold from abroad and caused a steady export of silver coin, in spite of a reevaluation of gold in 1717 by Sir Isaac Newton, Master of the Royal Mint.

The de facto gold standard continued until its official adoption following the end of the Napoleonic Wars in 1816. This lasted until the United Kingdom abandoned the standard after World War I in 1919. During this period, the pound was generally valued at around U.S. $4.90.

In an attempt to resume stability, a variation on the gold standard was reintroduced
in 1926, under which the currency was pegged to the gold price at pre-war levels, al-
though people were only able to exchange their currency for gold bullion, rather than
for coins. This was abandoned on September 21, 1931, during the Great Depression, and
the pound was devalued by 20 percent.

In common with all other world currencies, the pound no longer has any link to
precious metals. The U.S. dollar was the last to leave gold, in 1971. The pound was
made fully convertible in 1946 as a condition for receiving a U.S. loan of $3.75 billion in the aftermath of World War II. At this time the pound sterling was used as the currency of the British Empire. As the Empire became the Commonwealth of Nations, dominions introduced their own currencies (such as the Australian pound).

Visit http://en.wikipedia.org/ for further details.

BANKNOTES AND COINS

As of July 2005, the Bank of England circulates the following banknotes, known as
Series E:

•5-pound note depicting Elizabeth Fry, showing a meeting of people possibly dis-
cussing prisoners’ rights.
•10-pound note depicting Charles Darwin, a hummingbird, and the HMS Beagle. (See
Figure 7.2.)
•20-pound note depicting Sir Edward Elgar, with a view of the west face of Worces-
ter Cathedral.
•50-pound note depicting Sir John Houblon, with a view of his house in Threadnee-
dle Street.

Forex Trading System- Daily Composite Charts


DAILY COMPOSITE CHARTS

Refer to Chapter 2, Tools of the Trade, for a detailed description of both daily and
weekly composite charts

The time frame in the following charts (Figures 6.1 through 6.9) spans 1/1/2005
through 4/14/2006. Daily composite activity charts are calculated by averaging the sum of the upticks and downticks over that period using one-minute time intervals. Their purpose is to assist traders in determining when to schedule online trading sessions based upon traders’ predilection to the nebulous risk/reward factor and the volatility of the targeted currency pair.

The vertical numeric scale on the right of each chart is activity expressed in total
number of ticks (upticks plus downticks) during each time interval. The bottom band
(the darkest) represents the activity for the current one-minute interval. The central band plus the lower band represents 3-minute activity. The sum of the all three bands represents the 5-minute activity.

A close inspection of the composite charts above reveals that each daily chart is
unique. This can be primarily attributed to intervention and to the fact that various regulatory agencies schedule their news releases on different days of the week, and at any time between 8:30 A.M.ET and 4:00 P.M.ET (usually). Without invention, these charts would most likely exhibit a smoother, less “spikey” behavior.

CAVEAT

Traders should be aware that starting around 3:30 P.M.Eastern Time, many currency
brokers begin gradually increasing their transaction costs. One NY broker raises the
EURUSD transaction cost from its standard 3 pips to 5 pips. Shortly after 4:00 P.M., this is again incremented to 7 pips then 10 pips by 4:30 P.M.Unless traders intend to stay in an open position over the weekend and risk rollover charges, they should liquidate all trades prior to 3:00 P.M. Friday Eastern Time. It is possible, for whatever reason, to trade over the weekend, but the high transaction costs and lack of volatility usually defeat the prospect of any profitability.

Additionally, traders should also be aware of another phenomenon which, though it
occurs very infrequently, can have a very damaging effect on placing orders. The transaction cost may spike wildly without warning and for no apparent reason.

Currency brokers protect themselves whenever the electronic order book becomes lopsided. Thisbook is a list of the incoming trades at the lowest level. Normally, buy orders must be offset with corresponding sell orders of the same quantity, thus maintaining a state of equilibrium (in futures contracts, this equilibrium is rigidly enforced; a long always has a corresponding short). If the number of incoming buy orders far exceeds the number of incoming sell orders (or vice versa), the broker may increase the bid-ask spread to ensure liquidity and to avoid brokerage house losses.